Monday, January 25, 2010

Quick look at the top PFs

I believe the 2010 draft is going to become a PF draft more than any other position. Not only do good ones appear to be plentiful this year, but teams have traditionally loved using their lottery picks on big guys. The top 2 in most of the mocks are Derrick Favors and Ed Davis. Those two are followed by Patrick Patterson, El Farouq Aminu and DeMarcus Cousins. I decided to omit Patterson and Aminu from this group since both are combo forwards more than anything. I wanted to just compare the numbers of the top 3 at this point in the season. Numbers tell the story more than anything, so this should give us some idea of where these players will rank come draft day. Here are their 2-point pct, points and rebounds per 40 minutes, combined steals and blocks per 40 minutes and A/TO.

Cousins: .560 30.5 18.9 5.4 0.5
Davis: .594 21.0 14.0 4.9 0.6
Favors: .589 17.9 13.5 4.5 0.4

First thing to point out is these numbers have not been adjusted for pace. My guess is that when they are both Davis and Cousins will decline some, but not much. What these numbers show is that DeMarcus Cousins is becoming a monster prospect and right now any attempt to suggest otherwise or place another big guy ahead of him is just silly. Another point to make is Cousins' numbers have actually improved since the start of the month while the other two have seen the decline that most big men experience. This says Cousins is still figuring things out. Right now DeMarcus Cousins is the best big man in college basketball and I'm not sure anyone else is close.

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